Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.062267 0.070425 0.078799 0.088008 0.097819 0.107932 0.119117
2025-06-22 0.048521 0.060596 0.073668 0.088725 0.105450 0.123332 0.143775
2025-06-29 0.042165 0.056916 0.073541 0.093333 0.115946 0.140704 0.169595
2025-07-06 0.035334 0.051490 0.070412 0.093626 0.120810 0.151172 0.187204
2025-07-13 0.033641 0.051780 0.073600 0.100913 0.133412 0.170170 0.214250
2025-07-20 0.027600 0.045929 0.068814 0.098241 0.133986 0.175067 0.224976
2025-07-27 0.025492 0.044879 0.069726 0.102261 0.142325 0.188847 0.245833
2025-08-03 0.022413 0.042165 0.068252 0.103110 0.146673 0.197819 0.261017
2025-08-10 0.019664 0.039597 0.066727 0.103696 0.150546 0.206115 0.275324
2025-08-17 0.016756 0.036465 0.064198 0.102786 0.152406 0.211879 0.286549
2025-08-24 0.013238 0.031947 0.059430 0.098669 0.150016 0.212324 0.291285
2025-08-31 0.010757 0.028733 0.056229 0.096408 0.149796 0.215269 0.298900
2025-09-07 0.009391 0.027392 0.055874 0.098278 0.155303 0.225810 0.316415
2025-09-14 0.007846 0.025523 0.054645 0.098941 0.159319 0.234649 0.332092
2025-09-21 0.007392 0.025653 0.056444 0.103838 0.168915 0.250503 0.356413
2025-09-28 0.006092 0.023855 0.055080 0.104148 0.172375 0.258616 0.371231
2025-10-05 0.006291 0.025253 0.058864 0.111899 0.185817 0.279399 0.401737
2025-10-12 0.004686 0.022347 0.055447 0.109058 0.184937 0.281954 0.409673
2025-10-19 0.004369 0.022378 0.056884 0.113331 0.193683 0.296795 0.432885
2025-10-26 0.003623 0.021159 0.056096 0.114232 0.197796 0.305685 0.448692
2025-11-02 0.002945 0.019922 0.055169 0.114854 0.201482 0.314004 0.463778
2025-11-09 0.002206 0.018222 0.053270 0.113888 0.202896 0.319335 0.475087
2025-11-16 0.001335 0.015551 0.049302 0.109514 0.199391 0.318143 0.478073